bayesian-workflow

bayesian-workflow is a Physics, mathematics & simulation skill for AI agents, published by brycewang-stanford in the Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills repository on GitHub. Skillspace rates bayesian-workflow D (69/100) and it passed the safety scan; the rating is based on static analysis only.

Opinionated Bayesian modeling workflow with PyMC and ArviZ. Contains critical guardrails (nutpie sampler, prior/posterior predictive checks, LOO-PIT calibration, prior sensitivity checks, 94% HDI, non-centered parameterizations, reproducible seeds) that agents won't apply unprompted — always consult before writing Bayesian model code. Trigger on: building probabilistic/Bayesian models, prior elicitation, MCMC inference, convergence diagnostics (divergences, R-hat, ESS), model comparison (LOO-CV, ELPD, stacking weights), hierarchical/multilevel models, count regressions, logistic regression with uncertainty, prior sensitivity analysis, reporting Bayesian results, or mentions of PyMC, ArviZ, InferenceData, credible intervals, posterior distributions, shrinkage, uncertainty quantification. Also trigger for model comparison, diagnosing sampling problems, choosing priors, or presenting stats to non-technical audiences.

Grade

D

Quality

69 / 100

Safety

Passed

GitHub stars

3,783

Unproven: rated by static analysis only, not yet compared head-to-head.

Our two independent classifiers differ on this skill's category, so treat the placement as provisional.

This rating describes the version of the repository we crawled; it may have changed since, so go by its current files.

Skillspace indexes and rates this skill; it does not host or endorse it. Run third-party skills at your own risk.