event-forecasting
event-forecasting is a Statistical modelling skill for AI agents, published by pymc-labs in the decision-lab repository on GitHub. Skillspace rates event-forecasting B (81/100) and it passed the safety scan; the rating is based on static analysis only.
Methodology for probabilistic forecasting of when and whether a future event will occur. Covers Bayesian survival models, reference class reasoning, driver threshold models, leading indicator models, scenario decomposition, and causal mechanism models. Use for any question of the form "When will X happen?" or "What is the probability that Y occurs by date Z?"
- Grade
- B
- Quality
- 81 / 100
- Safety
- Passed
- GitHub stars
- 164
Unproven: rated by static analysis only, not yet compared head-to-head.
Our two independent classifiers differ on this skill's category, so treat the placement as provisional.
This rating describes the version of the repository we crawled; it may have changed since, so go by its current files.
Our review
- Architecture
- 100 / 100
- Maturity
- Structured: ships references or scripts
- Security scan
- No issues found
- License
- Apache-2.0
- Adoption
- Adopted by 0 other repositories, in 0 collections
Not checked yet
- Not judged on the rubric yet (not a contender in its category)
- No blind task eval yet
- Scope (portable / vendor / repo-internal) not assessed; only the top of each category is read for scope
- Sibling files (scripts, references) not fetched; security scan covers SKILL.md only
Skillspace indexes and rates this skill; it does not host or endorse it. Run third-party skills at your own risk.