news-reaction-failure-analyzer

news-reaction-failure-analyzer is an Investment analysis & markets skill for AI agents, published by tradermonty in the claude-trading-skills repository on GitHub. Skillspace rates news-reaction-failure-analyzer D (64/100) and it passed the safety scan; the rating is based on static analysis only.

Judge whether a market FAILED to react to news favorable to a crowded speculative position — step 2 of Jason Shapiro's COT contrarian process. Consumes a cot-contrarian-detector report (or an explicit direction) plus a Claude-curated events JSON, fetches the underlying price series with a documented fallback chain, and produces a fail-closed CONFIRMED / NOT_CONFIRMED / INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE verdict using a statistically validated drift-significance test (not a naive failure-ratio, which false-confirms on pure noise). Generic beyond COT — reusable for PEAD and macro-crowding news-failure checks. Use when the user asks to check news-failure confirmation, whether a crowded market "shrugged off" good/bad news, or wants to run Shapiro step 2 on a CROWDED_LONG/CROWDED_SHORT market.

Grade
D
Quality
64 / 100
Safety
Passed
GitHub stars
2,821

Unproven: rated by static analysis only, not yet compared head-to-head.

Our two independent classifiers differ on this skill's category, so treat the placement as provisional.

This rating describes the version of the repository we crawled; it may have changed since, so go by its current files.

Our review

Architecture
100 / 100
Maturity
Basic: a single SKILL.md
Security scan
Low-risk patterns
License
Not declared. Check the repository before reusing it.

What the scanner flagged

  • mentions secrets in text

Not checked yet

  • Category is a classifier prediction; no model has read this skill yet
  • Not judged on the rubric yet (not a contender in its category)
  • No blind task eval yet
  • Scope (portable / vendor / repo-internal) not assessed; only the top of each category is read for scope
  • Sibling files (scripts, references) not fetched; security scan covers SKILL.md only

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