forecast-premortem
forecast-premortem is a Structured reasoning & decision frameworks skill for AI agents, published by nicepkg in the ai-workflow repository on GitHub. Skillspace rates forecast-premortem C (71/100) and it passed the safety scan; the rating is based on static analysis only.
Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.
- Grade
- C
- Quality
- 71 / 100
- Safety
- Passed
- GitHub stars
- 266
Unproven: rated by static analysis only, not yet compared head-to-head.
Our two independent classifiers differ on this skill's category, so treat the placement as provisional.
This rating describes the version of the repository we crawled; it may have changed since, so go by its current files.
Our review
- Architecture
- 94 / 100
- Maturity
- Structured: ships references or scripts
- Security scan
- No issues found
- License
- MIT
- Adoption
- Adopted by 0 other repositories, in 2 collections
Not checked yet
- Not judged on the rubric yet (not a contender in its category)
- No blind task eval yet
- Scope (portable / vendor / repo-internal) not assessed; only the top of each category is read for scope
- Sibling files (scripts, references) not fetched; security scan covers SKILL.md only
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