matchup-win-probability-sim

matchup-win-probability-sim is a Statistical modelling skill for AI agents, published by lyndonkl in the claude repository on GitHub. Skillspace rates matchup-win-probability-sim C (71/100) and it passed the safety scan; the rating is based on static analysis only.

Computes P(we win at least K of N categories) for a head-to-head categorical matchup via Monte-Carlo simulation or Poisson-binomial approximation. Domain-neutral — works for any fantasy sport with H2H Categories scoring (MLB, NBA, NHL) or any zero-sum per-category competition. Use when you need matchup_win_probability, per_cat_win_probability, expected_cats_won, or variance_estimate; or when user mentions "matchup win probability", "head to head simulation", "Monte Carlo matchup", "Poisson binomial matchup", "P win 6 of 10", "category matchup simulation", or "weekly win probability".

Grade
C
Quality
71 / 100
Safety
Passed
GitHub stars
133

Unproven: rated by static analysis only, not yet compared head-to-head.

Our two independent classifiers differ on this skill's category, so treat the placement as provisional.

This rating describes the version of the repository we crawled; it may have changed since, so go by its current files.

Our review

Architecture
94 / 100
Maturity
Structured: ships references or scripts
Security scan
No issues found
License
Not declared. Check the repository before reusing it.
Adoption
Adopted by 0 other repositories, in 0 collections

Not checked yet

  • Not judged on the rubric yet (not a contender in its category)
  • No blind task eval yet
  • Scope (portable / vendor / repo-internal) not assessed; only the top of each category is read for scope
  • Sibling files (scripts, references) not fetched; security scan covers SKILL.md only

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